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New York Average Temperature vs US Air Passengers Carried

New York Average Temperature and US Air Passengers Carried correlate at r = +0.49 over 54 years (1970–2023), p = 1.6e-4. With the time trend removed, r = -0.18. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 1.6e-4) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.18). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.49
p-value
1.6e-4
Years compared (n)
54 (1970–2023)
95% confidence interval
0.26 to 0.67
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.18

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.