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New York Average Temperature vs US Marriage Rate

New York Average Temperature and US Marriage Rate correlate at r = -0.56 over 62 years (1960–2022), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.03. Interpret with caution.

Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from -0.56 to 0.03 once the trend is removed.

Pearson r
-0.56
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
62 (1960–2022)
95% confidence interval
-0.71 to -0.36
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.03

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.