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New York Average Temperature vs US Agriculture Value Added

New York Average Temperature and US Agriculture Value Added correlate at r = -0.42 over 25 years (1997–2021), p = 0.038. With the time trend removed, r = -0.25. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.038) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.25). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.42
p-value
0.038
Years compared (n)
25 (1997–2021)
95% confidence interval
-0.70 to -0.03
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.25

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.