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New York Average Temperature vs US Net Migration
New York Average Temperature and US Net Migration correlate at r = +0.50 over 66 years (1960–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.12. Likely spurious (shared time trend).
Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.12 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.
- Pearson r
- +0.50
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 66 (1960–2025)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.29 to 0.66
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.12
Sources
- New York Average Temperature (°C): Open-Meteo (ERA5). Annual mean 2m air temperature for New York from the ERA5 reanalysis.
- US Net Migration (people): World Bank. US Net Migration (World Bank indicator SM.POP.NETM).
Related pairs
- US Air Passengers Carried vs US Net Migration (r = +0.84)
- US Net Migration vs US Urban Population (r = +0.83)
- US Net Migration vs US Rural Population (r = -0.83)
- US Life Expectancy vs US Net Migration (r = +0.80)
- US Net Migration vs US Population (r = +0.78)
- US Median Age vs US Net Migration (r = +0.78)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.