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New York Average Temperature vs US College Enrollment

New York Average Temperature and US College Enrollment correlate at r = +0.45 over 39 years (1971–2022), p = 0.0041. With the time trend removed, r = -0.29. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0041) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.29). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.45
p-value
0.0041
Years compared (n)
39 (1971–2022)
95% confidence interval
0.16 to 0.67
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.29

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.