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Tokyo Average Temperature vs US Life Expectancy

Tokyo Average Temperature and US Life Expectancy correlate at r = +0.61 over 65 years (1960–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.39. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.61, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.39. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
+0.61
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
65 (1960–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.43 to 0.74
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.39

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.