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Global Temperature Anomaly vs US Marriage Rate
Global Temperature Anomaly and US Marriage Rate correlate at r = -0.61 over 128 years (1886–2022), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.45. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.45). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- -0.61
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 128 (1886–2022)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.71 to -0.49
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.45
Sources
- Global Temperature Anomaly (°C vs 1901–2000): NOAA NCEI. Annual global land and ocean surface temperature departure from the 1901–2000 average (NOAA NCEI).
- US Marriage Rate (per 1,000 people): Our World in Data. US Marriage Rate (Our World in Data: Crude marriage rate).
Related pairs
- US Marriage Rate vs US Adult Obesity (r = -0.98)
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs Global Temperature Anomaly (r = +0.97)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.97)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.96)
- US Marriage Rate vs US Resident Patent Applications (r = -0.95)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs US Population (r = +0.95)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.