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Global Temperature Anomaly vs US Death Rate
Global Temperature Anomaly and US Death Rate correlate at r = -0.28 over 65 years (1960–2024), p = 0.026. With the time trend removed, r = +0.32. Direction flips without the trend.
Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.28, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.32. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.
- Pearson r
- -0.28
- p-value
- 0.026
- Years compared (n)
- 65 (1960–2024)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.49 to -0.04
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.32
Sources
- Global Temperature Anomaly (°C vs 1901–2000): NOAA NCEI. Annual global land and ocean surface temperature departure from the 1901–2000 average (NOAA NCEI).
- US Death Rate (per 1,000 people): World Bank. US Death Rate (World Bank indicator SP.DYN.CDRT.IN).
Related pairs
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs Global Temperature Anomaly (r = +0.97)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.97)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.96)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs US Population (r = +0.95)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs US Cereal Yield (r = +0.94)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs Atmospheric Methane (global) (r = +0.94)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.