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Global Temperature Anomaly vs US Exports
Global Temperature Anomaly and US Exports correlate at r = +0.75 over 55 years (1970–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.31. Direction flips without the trend.
Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.75, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.31. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.
- Pearson r
- +0.75
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 55 (1970–2024)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.60 to 0.84
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.31
Sources
- Global Temperature Anomaly (°C vs 1901–2000): NOAA NCEI. Annual global land and ocean surface temperature departure from the 1901–2000 average (NOAA NCEI).
- US Exports (% of GDP): World Bank. US Exports (World Bank indicator NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS).
Related pairs
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs Global Temperature Anomaly (r = +0.97)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.97)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.96)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs US Population (r = +0.95)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs US Cereal Yield (r = +0.94)
- Global Temperature Anomaly vs Atmospheric Methane (global) (r = +0.94)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.