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Global Temperature Anomaly vs US Bank Lending Interest Rate

Global Temperature Anomaly and US Bank Lending Interest Rate correlate at r = -0.32 over 62 years (1960–2021), p = 0.010. With the time trend removed, r = -0.08. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.010) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.08). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.32
p-value
0.010
Years compared (n)
62 (1960–2021)
95% confidence interval
-0.53 to -0.08
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.08

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.