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Global Temperature Anomaly vs US Secondary School Enrollment

Global Temperature Anomaly and US Secondary School Enrollment correlate at r = +0.74 over 35 years (1971–2022), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.11. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.11 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
+0.74
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
35 (1971–2022)
95% confidence interval
0.54 to 0.86
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.11

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.