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Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US CO₂ Emissions per Capita

Atmospheric Methane (global) and US CO₂ Emissions per Capita correlate at r = -0.74 over 41 years (1984–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.03. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.03 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
-0.74
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
41 (1984–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.85 to -0.56
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.03

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.