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Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US Resident Patent Applications

Atmospheric Methane (global) and US Resident Patent Applications correlate at r = +0.92 over 38 years (1984–2021), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.74. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.92, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.74. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
+0.92
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
38 (1984–2021)
95% confidence interval
0.85 to 0.96
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.74

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.