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Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) vs US Median Age

Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) and US Median Age correlate at r = -0.87 over 45 years (1979–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.18. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.18 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
-0.87
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
45 (1979–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.93 to -0.77
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.18

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.