CorrelateAI › Pairs

Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) vs US Rural Population

Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) and US Rural Population correlate at r = +0.84 over 47 years (1979–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.14. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.14 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
+0.84
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
47 (1979–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.73 to 0.91
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.14

Sources

Related pairs

Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.