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US Air Passengers Carried vs US Death Rate

US Air Passengers Carried and US Death Rate correlate at r = -0.32 over 54 years (1970–2023), p = 0.017. With the time trend removed, r = -0.60. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.017) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.60). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.32
p-value
0.017
Years compared (n)
54 (1970–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.54 to -0.06
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.60

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.