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US Air Passengers Carried vs US Infant Mortality

US Air Passengers Carried and US Infant Mortality correlate at r = -0.89 over 54 years (1970–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.26. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.26 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
-0.89
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
54 (1970–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.94 to -0.82
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.26

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.