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US Alcohol Consumption vs US Coal Consumption

US Alcohol Consumption and US Coal Consumption correlate at r = -0.82 over 21 years (2000–2020), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.17. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.17 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
-0.82
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
21 (2000–2020)
95% confidence interval
-0.93 to -0.60
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.17

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.