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US Alcohol Consumption vs US Oil Consumption

US Alcohol Consumption and US Oil Consumption correlate at r = -0.64 over 21 years (2000–2020), p = 0.0018. With the time trend removed, r = -0.01. Interpret with caution.

Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from -0.64 to -0.01 once the trend is removed.

Pearson r
-0.64
p-value
0.0018
Years compared (n)
21 (2000–2020)
95% confidence interval
-0.84 to -0.29
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.01

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.