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US Alcohol Consumption vs US Exports

US Alcohol Consumption and US Exports correlate at r = +0.47 over 21 years (2000–2020), p = 0.030. With the time trend removed, r = -0.20. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.030) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.20). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.47
p-value
0.030
Years compared (n)
21 (2000–2020)
95% confidence interval
0.05 to 0.75
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.20

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.