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US Alcohol Consumption vs US Bank Lending Interest Rate

US Alcohol Consumption and US Bank Lending Interest Rate correlate at r = -0.45 over 21 years (2000–2020), p = 0.043. With the time trend removed, r = +0.19. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.043) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.19). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.45
p-value
0.043
Years compared (n)
21 (2000–2020)
95% confidence interval
-0.74 to -0.02
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.19

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.