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US Annual CO₂ Emissions vs US CO₂ Emissions per Capita

US Annual CO₂ Emissions and US CO₂ Emissions per Capita correlate at r = +0.88 over 225 years (1800–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.12. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.12 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
+0.88
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
225 (1800–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.85 to 0.91
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.12

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.