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US CO₂ Emissions per Capita vs US Electricity Generation

US CO₂ Emissions per Capita and US Electricity Generation correlate at r = -0.45 over 40 years (1985–2024), p = 0.0035. With the time trend removed, r = +0.93. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.45, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.93. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
-0.45
p-value
0.0035
Years compared (n)
40 (1985–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.67 to -0.16
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.93

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.