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US Electricity Generation vs US CO₂ Emissions per Capita

US Electricity Generation and US CO₂ Emissions per Capita correlate at r = -0.60 over 40 years (1985–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.89. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.60, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.89. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
-0.60
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
40 (1985–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.77 to -0.35
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.89

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.