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US Electricity Generation vs US Bank Lending Interest Rate

US Electricity Generation and US Bank Lending Interest Rate correlate at r = -0.69 over 37 years (1985–2021), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.15. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.15 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
-0.69
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
37 (1985–2021)
95% confidence interval
-0.83 to -0.48
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.15

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.