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US Homicide Rate vs US GDP per Capita
US Homicide Rate and US GDP per Capita correlate at r = -0.61 over 31 years (1990–2023), p = 2.3e-4. With the time trend removed, r = +0.61. Direction flips without the trend.
Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.61, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.61. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.
- Pearson r
- -0.61
- p-value
- 2.3e-4
- Years compared (n)
- 31 (1990–2023)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.80 to -0.33
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.61
Sources
- US Homicide Rate (per 100,000 people): Our World in Data. US Homicide Rate (Our World in Data: Homicide rate per 100,000 population).
- US GDP per Capita (USD): World Bank. US GDP per Capita (World Bank indicator NY.GDP.PCAP.CD).
Related pairs
- US GDP (current US$) vs US GDP per Capita (r = +1.00)
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.99)
- Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.98)
- US GDP per Capita vs US Resident Patent Applications (r = +0.97)
- US GDP per Capita vs US Population (r = +0.97)
- US Median Age vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.97)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.