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US Homicide Rate vs US Life Expectancy

US Homicide Rate and US Life Expectancy correlate at r = -0.91 over 31 years (1990–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.82. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.82). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.91
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
31 (1990–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.96 to -0.83
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.82

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.