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US Homicide Rate vs US Resident Patent Applications

US Homicide Rate and US Resident Patent Applications correlate at r = -0.84 over 29 years (1990–2021), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.58. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.58). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.84
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
29 (1990–2021)
95% confidence interval
-0.92 to -0.68
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.58

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.