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US Homicide Rate vs US College Enrollment
US Homicide Rate and US College Enrollment correlate at r = -0.67 over 19 years (1990–2022), p = 0.0016. With the time trend removed, r = -0.13. Likely spurious (shared time trend).
Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.13 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.
- Pearson r
- -0.67
- p-value
- 0.0016
- Years compared (n)
- 19 (1990–2022)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.86 to -0.31
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.13
Sources
- US Homicide Rate (per 100,000 people): Our World in Data. US Homicide Rate (Our World in Data: Homicide rate per 100,000 population).
- US College Enrollment (% gross): World Bank. US College Enrollment (World Bank indicator SE.TER.ENRR).
Related pairs
- US Nuclear Power Generation vs US College Enrollment (r = +0.97)
- US Median Age vs US College Enrollment (r = +0.96)
- US Life Expectancy vs US College Enrollment (r = +0.94)
- US Infant Mortality vs US College Enrollment (r = -0.94)
- US Homicide Rate vs US Rural Population (r = +0.94)
- US Homicide Rate vs US Urban Population (r = -0.94)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.