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US Marriage Rate vs US Median Age

US Marriage Rate and US Median Age correlate at r = -0.85 over 72 years (1950–2022), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.63. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.63). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.85
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
72 (1950–2022)
95% confidence interval
-0.91 to -0.77
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.63

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.