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US Marriage Rate vs US Oil Consumption
US Marriage Rate and US Oil Consumption correlate at r = -0.49 over 57 years (1965–2022), p = 1.3e-4. With the time trend removed, r = +0.41. Direction flips without the trend.
Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.49, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.41. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.
- Pearson r
- -0.49
- p-value
- 1.3e-4
- Years compared (n)
- 57 (1965–2022)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.66 to -0.26
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.41
Sources
- US Marriage Rate (per 1,000 people): Our World in Data. US Marriage Rate (Our World in Data: Crude marriage rate).
- US Oil Consumption (TWh): Our World in Data. US Oil Consumption (Our World in Data: Oil).
Related pairs
- US Marriage Rate vs US Adult Obesity (r = -0.98)
- US Marriage Rate vs US Resident Patent Applications (r = -0.95)
- US Marriage Rate vs US Mobile Subscriptions (r = -0.95)
- Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US Marriage Rate (r = -0.95)
- US Marriage Rate vs US Health Expenditure (r = -0.94)
- US Alcohol Consumption vs US Marriage Rate (r = -0.94)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.