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US Marriage Rate vs US Annual Working Hours per Worker

US Marriage Rate and US Annual Working Hours per Worker correlate at r = +0.30 over 76 years (1890–2022), p = 0.0082. With the time trend removed, r = -0.51. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.30, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.51. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
+0.30
p-value
0.0082
Years compared (n)
76 (1890–2022)
95% confidence interval
0.08 to 0.49
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.51

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.