CorrelateAI › Pairs

US Marriage Rate vs US CO₂ Emissions per Capita

US Marriage Rate and US CO₂ Emissions per Capita correlate at r = +0.84 over 52 years (1970–2022), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.06. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.06 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
+0.84
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
52 (1970–2022)
95% confidence interval
0.73 to 0.90
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.06

Sources

Related pairs

Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.