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US Marriage Rate vs US Net Migration
US Marriage Rate and US Net Migration correlate at r = -0.69 over 62 years (1960–2022), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.18. Likely spurious (shared time trend).
Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.18 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.
- Pearson r
- -0.69
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 62 (1960–2022)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.80 to -0.54
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.18
Sources
- US Marriage Rate (per 1,000 people): Our World in Data. US Marriage Rate (Our World in Data: Crude marriage rate).
- US Net Migration (people): World Bank. US Net Migration (World Bank indicator SM.POP.NETM).
Related pairs
- US Marriage Rate vs US Adult Obesity (r = -0.98)
- US Marriage Rate vs US Resident Patent Applications (r = -0.95)
- US Marriage Rate vs US Mobile Subscriptions (r = -0.95)
- Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US Marriage Rate (r = -0.95)
- US Marriage Rate vs US Health Expenditure (r = -0.94)
- US Alcohol Consumption vs US Marriage Rate (r = -0.94)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.