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US Marriage Rate vs US R&D Expenditure

US Marriage Rate and US R&D Expenditure correlate at r = -0.84 over 27 years (1996–2022), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.20. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.20 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
-0.84
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
27 (1996–2022)
95% confidence interval
-0.92 to -0.67
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.20

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.