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US Median Age vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+)

US Median Age and Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) correlate at r = +0.65 over 64 years (1960–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.38. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.65, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.38. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
+0.65
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
64 (1960–2023)
95% confidence interval
0.49 to 0.77
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.38

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.