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US Median Age vs US CO₂ Emissions per Capita

US Median Age and US CO₂ Emissions per Capita correlate at r = -0.82 over 54 years (1970–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.68. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.82, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.68. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
-0.82
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
54 (1970–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.89 to -0.71
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.68

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.