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US Median Age vs US Military Expenditure

US Median Age and US Military Expenditure correlate at r = -0.83 over 64 years (1960–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.14. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.14 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
-0.83
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
64 (1960–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.90 to -0.74
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.14

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.