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US Milk Consumption per Person vs US College Enrollment

US Milk Consumption per Person and US College Enrollment correlate at r = -0.35 over 39 years (1971–2022), p = 0.031. With the time trend removed, r = +0.51. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.35, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.51. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
-0.35
p-value
0.031
Years compared (n)
39 (1971–2022)
95% confidence interval
-0.60 to -0.03
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.51

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.