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US Oil Consumption vs US Renewable Energy Share

US Oil Consumption and US Renewable Energy Share correlate at r = +0.31 over 61 years (1965–2025), p = 0.015. With the time trend removed, r = -0.66. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.31, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.66. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
+0.31
p-value
0.015
Years compared (n)
61 (1965–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.06 to 0.52
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.66

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.