CorrelateAI › Pairs
Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US GDP per Capita
Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) and US GDP per Capita correlate at r = +0.61 over 66 years (1960–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.48. Direction flips without the trend.
Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.61, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.48. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.
- Pearson r
- +0.61
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 66 (1960–2025)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.44 to 0.74
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.48
Sources
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (earthquakes per year): USGS. Annual worldwide count of magnitude 5+ earthquakes (USGS ComCat).
- US GDP per Capita (USD): World Bank. US GDP per Capita (World Bank indicator NY.GDP.PCAP.CD).
Related pairs
- US GDP (current US$) vs US GDP per Capita (r = +1.00)
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.99)
- Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.98)
- US GDP per Capita vs US Resident Patent Applications (r = +0.97)
- US GDP per Capita vs US Population (r = +0.97)
- US Median Age vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.97)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.