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Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Population Aged 65+

Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) and US Population Aged 65+ correlate at r = +0.63 over 66 years (1960–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.16. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.16 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
+0.63
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
66 (1960–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.45 to 0.75
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.16

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.