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Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US College Enrollment

Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) and US College Enrollment correlate at r = +0.36 over 39 years (1971–2022), p = 0.026. With the time trend removed, r = +0.02. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.026) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.02). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.36
p-value
0.026
Years compared (n)
39 (1971–2022)
95% confidence interval
0.05 to 0.60
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.02

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.