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Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) vs US GDP per Capita

Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) and US GDP per Capita correlate at r = +0.31 over 66 years (1960–2025), p = 0.011. With the time trend removed, r = -0.22. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.011) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.22). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.31
p-value
0.011
Years compared (n)
66 (1960–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.07 to 0.51
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.22

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.