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Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) vs US Tax Revenue

Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) and US Tax Revenue correlate at r = -0.46 over 53 years (1972–2024), p = 5.1e-4. With the time trend removed, r = -0.39. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 5.1e-4) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.39). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.46
p-value
5.1e-4
Years compared (n)
53 (1972–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.65 to -0.22
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.39

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.