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US Birth Rate vs US Population Aged 65+
US Birth Rate and US Population Aged 65+ correlate at r = -0.85 over 65 years (1960–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.13. Likely spurious (shared time trend).
Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.13 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.
- Pearson r
- -0.85
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 65 (1960–2024)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.91 to -0.76
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.13
Sources
- US Birth Rate (per 1,000 people): World Bank. US Birth Rate (World Bank indicator SP.DYN.CBRT.IN).
- US Population Aged 65+ (% of total): World Bank. US Population Aged 65+ (World Bank indicator SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS).
Related pairs
- US Wind Power Generation vs US Population Aged 65+ (r = +0.99)
- US Renewable Energy Share vs US Population Aged 65+ (r = +0.96)
- US GDP per Capita vs US Population Aged 65+ (r = +0.96)
- US GDP (current US$) vs US Population Aged 65+ (r = +0.95)
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs US Population Aged 65+ (r = +0.95)
- Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US Birth Rate (r = -0.95)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.