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US Cereal Yield vs US GDP per Capita

US Cereal Yield and US GDP per Capita correlate at r = +0.97 over 64 years (1961–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.39. Interpret with caution.

Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from 0.97 to 0.39 once the trend is removed.

Pearson r
+0.97
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
64 (1961–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.95 to 0.98
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.39

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.