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US CO₂ Emissions per Capita vs US College Enrollment

US CO₂ Emissions per Capita and US College Enrollment correlate at r = -0.82 over 39 years (1971–2022), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.33. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.82, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.33. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
-0.82
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
39 (1971–2022)
95% confidence interval
-0.90 to -0.68
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.33

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.