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US GDP per Capita vs US Net Migration
US GDP per Capita and US Net Migration correlate at r = +0.71 over 66 years (1960–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.16. Likely spurious (shared time trend).
Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.16 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.
- Pearson r
- +0.71
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 66 (1960–2025)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.57 to 0.81
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.16
Sources
- US GDP per Capita (USD): World Bank. US GDP per Capita (World Bank indicator NY.GDP.PCAP.CD).
- US Net Migration (people): World Bank. US Net Migration (World Bank indicator SM.POP.NETM).
Related pairs
- US GDP (current US$) vs US GDP per Capita (r = +1.00)
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.99)
- Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.98)
- US GDP per Capita vs US Resident Patent Applications (r = +0.97)
- US GDP per Capita vs US Population (r = +0.97)
- US Median Age vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.97)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.