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US Infant Mortality vs US R&D Expenditure

US Infant Mortality and US R&D Expenditure correlate at r = -0.80 over 28 years (1996–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.68. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.80, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.68. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
-0.80
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
28 (1996–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.90 to -0.61
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.68

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.